WA-07 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 70-75%" at 43.5% on "WA-07 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 5.5%p from yesterday. $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 70-75%
▲5.543%
PoliticsVol $1.2KTotal volume $1.2KLiquidity $287in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Sep 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 70-75%
43.5%
▲5.5
Democrat 90%+
43.3%
▲1.8
Democrat 80-85%
42.9%
▲2.9
Democrat 50-60%
42.6%
▲2.1
Democrat 85-90%
42.4%
–
Democrat 60-65%
42.1%
▲1.6
Democrat 0-50%
42.1%
▼1.9
Democrat 65-70%
41.8%
▼2.3
Democrat 75-80%
41.0%
▲1.0
Republican Wins
36.6%
▼2.9
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
