WA-07 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 50-60%" at 43.6% on "WA-07 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 5.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 50-60%
▲5.044%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $1.5KLiquidity $18Kin 11 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 50-60%
43.6%
▲5.0
Democrat 80-85%
43.5%
▲5.2
Democrat 85-90%
43.4%
▲5.3
Democrat 90%+
43.2%
▲4.5
Democrat 65-70%
42.8%
▲4.2
Democrat 70-75%
42.3%
▲3.9
Democrat 60-65%
42.1%
▲4.0
Democrat 0-50%
41.9%
▲3.4
Democrat 75-80%
37.9%
▲1.5
Republican Wins
0.55%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 50-60%
Democrat 80-85%
Democrat 85-90%
Democrat 90%+
Democrat 65-70%
Democrat 70-75%
2026-09-07 ~ 2026-10-23 · y-axis %
