WA-09 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Adam Smith (D)" at 96.7% on "WA-09 House Election Winner". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Adam Smith (D)
–97%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $55KLiquidity $35Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Adam Smith (D)
96.7%
–
Doug Basler (R)
2.35%
–
Probability over time
Adam Smith (D)
Doug Basler (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
