WA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 55-60%" at 33.0% on "WA-09 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $6 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 55-60%
▼0.533%
PoliticsVol $6Total volume $16Liquidity $1.0Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Sep 13 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 55-60%
33.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 40-45%
33.0%
–
Democrat 30-35%
33.0%
–
Democrat 0-20%
33.0%
–
Democrat 45-50%
32.5%
▲3.0
Democrat 35-40%
32.5%
▼0.5
Republican Wins
29.9%
▲26.5
Democrat 20-30%
29.0%
▼5.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
