WA-10 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican Wins" at 42.3% on "WA-10 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.9%p from yesterday. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican Wins
▲0.942%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $640Liquidity $792in 11 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican Wins
42.3%
▲0.9
Democrat 20-25%
40.5%
–
Democrat 5-10%
40.5%
–
Democrat 35%+
38.0%
▼1.0
Probability over time
Republican Wins
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 35%+
2026-09-03 ~ 2026-10-23 · y-axis %
