Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

Polymarket traders put "Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?" at 49.5%. Up 1.0%p from yesterday. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?
▲1.050%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $953Liquidity $27Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?
49.5%
▲1.0

Probability over time

Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.