West Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 35-40%" at 32.5% on "West Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory". There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 35-40%
–33%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $14KLiquidity $139Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 35-40%
32.5%
–
Republican 30-35%
28.5%
–
Republican 25-30%
20.5%
▲2.5
Republican 40-45%
11.0%
▲2.0
Republican 50%+
5.00%
–
Republican 20-25%
4.50%
▼1.6
Republican 15-20%
4.00%
▼0.9
Republican 45-50%
3.40%
▼0.5
Republican 10-15%
3.20%
▼2.8
Democrat Wins
2.45%
–
Republican 0-10%
1.30%
–
Probability over time
Republican 35-40%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 40-45%
Republican 50%+
Republican 20-25%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
