West Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 45-50%" at 21.5% on "West Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory". Up 11.5%p from yesterday. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 45-50%
11.522%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $1.6KLiquidity $43Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 45-50%
21.5%
11.5
Republican 40-45%
16.0%
1.0
Republican 30-35%
14.5%
4.0
Republican 35-40%
13.0%
Republican 25-30%
10.5%
4.0
Republican 20-25%
7.00%
9.0
Republican 0-10%
6.60%
1.1
Republican 15-20%
5.00%
Republican 50%+
4.50%
Republican 10-15%
4.30%
Democrat Wins
0.30%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.