What technical failure caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop?
Polymarket traders put "Maintenance or upgrade work" at 97.9% on "What technical failure caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop?". Up 26.4%p from yesterday. $48K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
Maintenance or upgrade work
▲26.498%
PoliticsVol $48KTotal volume $52KLiquidity $52KComments 12in 16 days (Dec 1)
Current probability
Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Maintenance or upgrade work
97.9%
▲26.4
Equipment or system failure
95.1%
▲7.1
Telecom carrier or contractor fault
95.1%
▲10.6
Software or configuration error
71.5%
▲0.5
Cable cut or physical damage
2.65%
▼32.4
EMP
2.45%
▲1.8
SMART AI system
1.35%
▼0.8
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
