What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Polymarket traders put "Mr Speaker 12+ times" at 96.5% on "What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?". $584 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 14 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 15.

Most likely right now
Mr Speaker 12+ times
–97%
PoliticsVol $584Total volume $561Liquidity $3.0Kin 6 days (Oct 15)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Mr Speaker 12+ times
96.5%
–
Mr Speaker 20+ times
77.0%
–
Budget
76.0%
–
Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times
71.0%
–
Wales
71.0%
–
Defence
71.0%
–
Northern Ireland
55.5%
–
Scotland
53.5%
–
Immigration
53.0%
–
Reform
53.0%
–
NHS
44.0%
–
King / Queen
15.0%
–
Trump
15.0%
–
-No Qualifying Event-
1.40%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.