What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Polymarket traders put "Defence" at 74.5% on "What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?". $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 29.

Most likely right now
Defence
–75%
PoliticsVol $1.2KTotal volume $1.2KLiquidity $2.2Kin 6 days (Oct 29)
Current probability

Oct 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Defence
74.5%
–
Mr Speaker 30+ times
73.5%
–
Scotland
70.0%
–
Reform
62.5%
–
Trump
47.0%
–
Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times
40.0%
–
NHS
40.0%
–
Wales
36.0%
–
Immigration
32.5%
–
-No Qualifying Event-
17.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.