What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Polymarket traders put "Reform" at 78.5% on "What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $1 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 19.

Most likely right now
Reform
▼0.579%
PoliticsVol $1Total volume $406Liquidity $3.4Kin 4 days (Nov 19)
Current probability

Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Reform
78.5%
▼0.5
Defence
74.5%
▼6.5
Wales
58.5%
▲22.0
Mr Speaker 30+ times
57.5%
▲27.0
Scotland
56.5%
▲13.0
Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times
51.0%
▲22.5
Immigration
50.5%
▲27.5
Trump
48.5%
▼6.5
NHS
46.0%
▲21.5
-No Qualifying Event-
2.75%
▲1.3

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.