What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?

Polymarket traders put "Winchester Model 1873" at 47.5% on "What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $9 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Winchester Model 1873
0.548%
PoliticsVol $9Total volume $2.7KLiquidity $20Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Winchester Model 1873
47.5%
0.5
Colt Peacemaker
23.0%
0.5
Winchester Model 1894
10.5%
2.5
Colt M1911
10.0%
2.5
M1 Garand
4.45%
Remington Model 700
0.55%

Probability over time

Winchester Model 1873
Colt Peacemaker
Winchester Model 1894
Colt M1911
M1 Garand
Remington Model 700
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.