What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?

Polymarket traders put "Winchester Model 1873" at 55.5% on "What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. $157 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Winchester Model 1873
▼2.056%
PoliticsVol $157Total volume $11KLiquidity $40KComments 3in 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Winchester Model 1873
55.5%
▼2.0
Colt Peacemaker
18.0%
▲2.5
Colt M1911
11.5%
▲1.5
M1 Garand
4.95%
–
Winchester Model 1894
4.60%
–
Remington Model 700
0.50%
–

Probability over time

Winchester Model 1873
Colt Peacemaker
Colt M1911
M1 Garand
Winchester Model 1894
Remington Model 700
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.