What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?

Polymarket traders put "Border" at 86.0% on "What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?". $983 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 13 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 9.

Most likely right now
Border
–86%
PoliticsVol $983Total volume $983Liquidity $4.1KCloses today (Oct 9)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Border
86.0%
–
Election
85.5%
–
Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime
82.5%
–
Illegal Alien
80.5%
–
Social Security
79.5%
–
Family
76.0%
–
2028 / Campaign
74.5%
–
Steel
67.5%
–
Job 10+ times
63.0%
–
Economy / Economic
60.0%
–
Police
53.0%
–
Hundred / Thousand 20+ times
23.5%
–
-No Qualifying Event-
3.50%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.