What will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?

Polymarket traders put "America / American 20+ times" at 81.5% on "What will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?". Up 31.0%p from yesterday. $7.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 20 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 10.

Most likely right now
America / American 20+ times
31.082%
PoliticsVol $7.4KTotal volume $7.5KLiquidity $4.9Kin 6 days (Sep 10)
Current probability

Sep 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
America / American 20+ times
81.5%
31.0
Socialist / Socialism
80.5%
30.5
American Dream
75.0%
24.5
Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime
74.0%
23.5
Charlie / Kirk
73.0%
23.0
Manufacturing
71.0%
20.5
2028 / Campaign
70.0%
20.0
Illegal Alien
69.5%
19.5
Tax 7+ times
69.0%
18.5
Wife
60.5%
10.5
Hell
57.5%
8.0
China / Chinese
54.0%
3.5
Free Speech / Freedom of Speech
40.0%
10.0
America First
37.5%
13.0
Working Class / Middle Class
37.0%
13.5
Iran 3+ times
27.0%
22.5
AI / Artificial Intelligence
27.0%
23.0
Israel / Israeli
25.0%
24.5
Ass
12.5%
37.0
-No Qualifying Event-
0.60%
49.4

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.