What will Mamdani say during next live announcement?

Polymarket traders put "Safe / Safer / Safety" at 75.5% on "What will Mamdani say during next live announcement?". $555 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.

Most likely right now
Safe / Safer / Safety
–76%
PoliticsVol $555Total volume $555Liquidity $850in 19 days (Nov 1)
Current probability

Oct 13 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Safe / Safer / Safety
75.5%
–
School
73.5%
–
Trump / President
48.5%
–
Grocery
46.5%
–
-No Qualifying Event-
0.60%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.