What will the NYT front-page headlines say on Sunday? (November 15)
Polymarket traders put "War" at 68.5% on "What will the NYT front-page headlines say on Sunday? (November 15)". Up 18.5%p from yesterday. $6.9K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 15 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 16.
Most likely right now
War
▲18.569%
PoliticsVol $6.9KTotal volume $6.9KLiquidity $5.3Kin 8 days (Nov 16)
Current probability
Nov 8 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
War
68.5%
▲18.5
Iran / Iranian
62.0%
▲12.0
Putin
46.5%
▼3.5
AI / Artificial Intelligence
37.0%
▼13.0
Claude / Anthropic
36.5%
▼13.0
Israel / Israeli
33.5%
▼16.5
Fall / Plummet
20.0%
–
Game
9.50%
–
Talarico
9.00%
▼41.0
Blockade
9.00%
▼41.0
Ocean
8.00%
▼42.0
Rigged
7.00%
▼43.0
Peace
6.70%
–
Crypto / Bitcoin
5.60%
▼44.4
United Nations
1.10%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
