What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18)

Polymarket traders put "Russia" at 100.0% on "What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18)". $677 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 19.

Most likely right now
Russia
–100%
PoliticsVol $677Total volume $677Liquidity $691in 6 days (Oct 19)
Current probability

Oct 13 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Russia
100.0%
–
War
100.0%
–
Deranged / Derangement
100.0%
–
Iran
94.5%
–
China
83.0%
–
Nidal Hasan
49.0%
–
Rigged
41.0%
–
Putin
37.0%
–
Mexico
30.0%
–
Sanction
26.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.