What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in New York?
Polymarket traders put "1776" at 96.5% on "What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in New York?". Up 8.1%p from yesterday. $20K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 17 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 9.
Most likely right now
1776
▲8.197%
PoliticsVol $20KTotal volume $29KLiquidity $3.7KComments 1Closed (Oct 9)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
1776
96.5%
▲8.1
Depression
93.0%
▲6.0
Electricity / Electric
74.5%
▲14.5
Zohran/Mamdani
73.5%
▼1.0
Crime / Criminal 10+ times
70.5%
▲1.0
SI / Super Intelligence 2+ times
69.0%
▼6.0
Gulf of America
66.0%
▲36.0
Buffalo
65.0%
▲12.0
Data Center
55.0%
▲28.0
Pipeline
52.5%
▼0.5
Union
50.0%
▼18.5
Micron
46.0%
▼28.5
Clay
43.0%
▼9.0
AOC
33.5%
▼27.5
Six Seven
7.50%
–
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
3.30%
▲0.7
-No Qualifying Event-
1.35%
–
Probability over time
1776
Depression
Electricity / Electric
Zohran/Mamdani
Crime / Criminal 10+ times
SI / Super Intelligence 2+ times
2026-10-09 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
