Where will the next Russia-Ukraine senior diplomatic meeting take place?

Polymarket traders put "UAE" at 45.0% on "Where will the next Russia-Ukraine senior diplomatic meeting take place?". Down 8.0%p from yesterday. $433 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 29 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
UAE
▼8.045%
PoliticsVol $433Total volume $2.7KLiquidity $13Kin 1.1 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
UAE
45.0%
▼8.0
Switzerland
32.0%
▲18.5
Turkey
31.0%
▲18.5
Germany
23.2%
▲20.2
China
23.1%
▲20.5
Saudi Arabia
22.6%
▲18.9
Slovakia
22.1%
▲19.6
India
22.1%
▲19.5
Other
21.1%
▲16.1
Vatican City
20.3%
▲17.8
Serbia
20.3%
▲17.8
South Africa
20.2%
▲16.7
Kazakhstan
19.1%
▲16.1
Russia
17.9%
▲14.4
Poland
17.8%
▲14.1
Other - Middle East/North Africa
17.3%
▲14.8
Ukraine
17.3%
▲14.6
Azerbaijan
16.4%
▲13.9
Belarus
16.3%
▲13.8
Hungary
15.8%
▲12.7
Qatar
15.7%
▲12.1
Other - Europe
15.1%
▲11.6
Brazil
12.4%
▲9.4
Austria
10.3%
▲7.3
USA
10.3%
▲7.2
Italy
7.80%
▲4.8
Finland
7.40%
▲4.9
Egypt
7.00%
▲3.4
No Meeting by December 31, 2027
5.25%
▲2.1

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.