Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "Anthropic" at 16.0% on "Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $277 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Anthropic
▲0.516%
TechVol $277Total volume $197Liquidity $8.0Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Sep 19 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Anthropic
16.0%
▲0.5
Google
13.5%
▼11.0
SpaceXAI
13.0%
▼1.0
OpenAI
12.0%
▼3.5
Probability over time
Anthropic
Google
SpaceXAI
OpenAI
2026-09-18 ~ 2026-09-19 · y-axis %
