Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "OpenAI" at 33.3% on "Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?". Unchanged from yesterday. $20 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
OpenAI
–33%
TechVol $20Total volume $6.2KLiquidity $2.3Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
OpenAI
33.3%
–
Anthropic
6.00%
–
SpaceXAI
3.00%
–
Google
2.75%
–
Probability over time
OpenAI
Anthropic
SpaceXAI
Google
2026-09-18 ~ 2026-11-03 · y-axis %
