Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2027?
Polymarket traders put "Syria" at 46.5% on "Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2027?". $23K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 17 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Syria
–47%
PoliticsVol $23KTotal volume $23KLiquidity $34Kin 1.1 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Syria
46.5%
–
Qatar
31.0%
–
Egypt
28.5%
–
Bangladesh
27.5%
–
Kuwait
27.0%
–
Bahrain
25.5%
–
Iran
22.0%
–
Jordan
18.0%
–
Lebanon
16.5%
–
Somalia
15.5%
–
Yemen
15.5%
–
Algeria
15.0%
–
Morocco
14.5%
–
Sudan
14.0%
–
United Arab Emirates
13.5%
–
Iraq
12.5%
–
Oman
9.00%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
