Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
Polymarket traders put "Greece" at 19.3% on "Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?". Down 4.5%p from yesterday. $36 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Greece
▼4.519%
PoliticsVol $36Total volume $38KLiquidity $11Kin 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Sep 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Greece
19.3%
▼4.5
US
17.0%
▼1.0
UK
14.5%
▼3.5
Italy
14.5%
▼20.5
Australia
9.50%
–
Germany
8.50%
▲0.5
Netherlands
8.00%
▲0.5
France
6.00%
▼1.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
