Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
Polymarket traders put "US" at 28.0% on "Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?". $85 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
US
–28%
PoliticsVol $85Total volume $51KLiquidity $49Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 16 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
US
28.0%
–
Australia
16.5%
▼0.5
Italy
15.0%
▼1.5
UK
14.5%
▲1.5
Greece
10.9%
–
France
10.0%
▲1.5
Germany
8.50%
▼0.5
Netherlands
5.00%
▲0.5
Probability over time
US
Australia
Italy
UK
Greece
France
2026-09-01 ~ 2026-10-16 · y-axis %
