Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in 2027?
Polymarket traders put "August 2027" at 23.5% on "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in 2027?". $2.7K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 13 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
August 2027
–24%
PoliticsVol $2.7KTotal volume $2.7KLiquidity $13Kin 1.1 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
August 2027
23.5%
–
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2027
22.0%
–
July 2027
11.5%
–
March 2027
9.90%
–
January 2027
9.50%
–
February 2027
9.50%
–
June 2027
9.00%
–
April 2027
8.50%
–
October 2027
8.50%
–
November 2027
7.00%
–
May 2027
5.50%
–
September 2027
5.50%
–
December 2027
3.55%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
