Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?
Polymarket traders put "SPD" at 95.8% on "Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?". Unchanged from yesterday. $726 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 21.
Most likely right now
SPD
–96%
PoliticsVol $726Total volume $19KLiquidity $48KComments 1Closed (Sep 21)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
SPD
95.8%
–
Grüne
95.4%
▲2.7
Linke
57.5%
▼29.1
CDU
5.10%
▼4.4
FW
4.05%
–
BSW
3.65%
–
FDP
2.95%
▲0.7
AfD
2.80%
▼2.1
Probability over time
SPD
Grüne
Linke
CDU
FW
BSW
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
