Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?

Polymarket traders put "Green Party" at 54.0% on "Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?". There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 7.

Most likely right now
Green Party
54%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $1.2KLiquidity $2.2KComments 11in 2 months (Nov 7)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Green Party
54.0%
ACT New Zealand
45.5%
National Party
41.5%
New Zealand First Party
41.5%
1.5
Labour Party
39.5%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.