Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
Polymarket traders put "Te Pāti Māori" at 67.0% on "Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 8.
Most likely right now
Te Pāti Māori
▲1.067%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $3.0KLiquidity $2.9KComments 11in 28 days (Nov 8)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Te Pāti Māori
67.0%
▲1.0
ACT New Zealand
65.0%
–
Green Party
62.5%
▼7.5
Labour Party
58.0%
▼1.0
New Zealand First Party
54.0%
▲1.5
National Party
53.0%
▲1.0
Probability over time
Te Pāti Māori
ACT New Zealand
Green Party
Labour Party
New Zealand First Party
National Party
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
