Which parties will support the new Israeli government in the vote of confidence by February 28?

Polymarket traders put "Yashar" at 72.5% on "Which parties will support the new Israeli government in the vote of confidence by February 28?". $84 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Mar 1.

Most likely right now
Yashar
–73%
PoliticsVol $84Total volume $84Liquidity $2.0Kin 4 months (Mar 1)
Current probability

Nov 8 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Yashar
72.5%
–
Religious Zionist Party
53.0%
▲3.0
The Democrats
50.5%
▲0.5
Homat Torat Yisrael
50.5%
▲0.5
Likud
49.5%
–
Ta'al
49.5%
▼0.5
Otzma Yehudit
28.5%
▼21.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.