Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

Polymarket traders put "Rodina" at 95.5% on "Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?". $2.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 20.

Most likely right now
Rodina
95%
PoliticsVol $2.8KTotal volume $2.8KLiquidity $47KComments 2in 18 days (Sep 20)
Current probability

Sep 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Rodina
95.5%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
94.5%
Russian Ecological Party “The Greens”
8.50%
Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice
6.50%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.