Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?
Polymarket traders put "Democratic Party" at 67.5% on "Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democratic Party
▼1.068%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $8.7KLiquidity $47Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democratic Party
67.5%
▼1.0
Republican Party
21.5%
▲2.0
Tie
10.0%
▼2.0
Probability over time
Democratic Party
Republican Party
Tie
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
