Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?

Most likely right now
Democratic Party
3.555%
PoliticsVol $38Total volume $808Liquidity $9.0Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democratic Party
55.0%
3.5
Republican Party
27.0%
2.5
Tie
12.0%
2.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.