Who leaves the Trump administration first: Rubio or Hegseth?
Polymarket traders put "Who leaves the Trump administration first: Rubio or Hegseth?" at 43.5%. Down 6.5%p from yesterday. $373 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Who leaves the Trump administration first: Rubio or Hegseth?
▼6.544%
PoliticsVol $373Total volume $373Liquidity $426in 1.1 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 8 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Who leaves the Trump administration first: Rubio or Hegseth?
43.5%
▼6.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
