Who will be impeached by June 30, 2027?

Polymarket traders put "Pete Hegseth - Secretary of Defense" at 57.0% on "Who will be impeached by June 30, 2027?". $2.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jul 1.

Most likely right now
Pete Hegseth - Secretary of Defense
–57%
PoliticsVol $2.6KTotal volume $2.6KLiquidity $1.4KComments 2in 8 months (Jul 1)
Current probability

Nov 6 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Pete Hegseth - Secretary of Defense
57.0%
–
Donald Trump - President
47.0%
–
Kash Patel - FBI Director
35.5%
–
Todd Blanche - Attorney General
28.0%
–
Linda McMahon - Secretary of Education
19.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.