Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Polymarket traders put "None before 2027" at 46.7% on "Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?". Down 11.7%p from yesterday. $1.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
None before 2027
▼11.747%
PoliticsVol $1.5KTotal volume $96KLiquidity $237Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
None before 2027
46.7%
▼11.7
Pete Hegseth
10.2%
–
Susie Wiles
7.20%
–
Russell T. Vought
4.70%
–
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
4.60%
▼0.7
Lee Zeldin
4.45%
–
Doug Burgum
2.90%
–
Mike Waltz
2.65%
–
Brooke Rollins
2.30%
–
John Ratcliffe
1.45%
▲0.8
J.D. Vance
1.30%
–
Scott Turner
1.00%
–
Sean Duffy
0.85%
–
Linda McMahon
0.70%
–
Jamieson Greer
0.65%
–
Marco Rubio
0.60%
–
Scott Bessent
0.55%
–
Howard Lutnick
0.55%
–
Chris Wright
0.55%
–
Kelly Loeffler
0.45%
–
Doug Collins
0.35%
–
Probability over time
None before 2027
Pete Hegseth
Susie Wiles
Russell T. Vought
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Lee Zeldin
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
