Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Most likely right now
None before 2027
–48%
PoliticsVol $2Total volume $42KLiquidity $152Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
None before 2027
47.9%
–
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
17.4%
▲0.8
Susie Wiles
6.65%
–
Chris Wright
6.55%
▼3.5
Doug Burgum
5.70%
–
Russell T. Vought
4.65%
–
Pete Hegseth
3.60%
–
Kelly Loeffler
3.00%
▼4.4
Scott Bessent
2.85%
–
Howard Lutnick
2.60%
–
Lee Zeldin
2.60%
–
Sean Duffy
2.50%
–
J.D. Vance
2.40%
–
Brooke Rollins
2.25%
–
Scott Turner
2.15%
–
Jamieson Greer
1.55%
–
Marco Rubio
1.15%
–
John Ratcliffe
0.80%
–
Linda McMahon
0.75%
–
Mike Waltz
0.75%
–
Doug Collins
0.45%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
