Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Polymarket traders put "Pete Hegseth" at 43.0% on "Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?". $21 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 20 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Pete Hegseth
–43%
PoliticsVol $21Total volume $21Liquidity $4.5Kin 2.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Pete Hegseth
43.0%
–
Mike Waltz
40.0%
–
Brooke Rollins
39.0%
–
Jay Clayton
38.0%
–
Russell T. Vought
33.5%
–
Stephen Miller
33.0%
–
None before 2029
31.5%
–
Sean Duffy
30.5%
–
Doug Collins
30.5%
–
Marco Rubio
30.0%
–
Linda McMahon
30.0%
–
Lee Zeldin
28.0%
–
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
27.0%
–
Keith Sonderling
26.0%
–
Howard Lutnick
25.5%
–
J.D. Vance
23.5%
–
Todd Blanche
23.0%
–
Markwayne Mullin
23.0%
–
Scott Turner
17.5%
–
Doug Burgum
15.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
