Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?

Polymarket traders put "Adam Telle" at 40.5% on "Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $10 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 19.

Most likely right now
Adam Telle
▼1.041%
PoliticsVol $10Total volume $4.6KLiquidity $22Kin 2.2 years (Jan 19)
Current probability

Nov 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Adam Telle
40.5%
▼1.0
Sean Parnell
19.0%
▲5.5
Marc Andersen
17.5%
▲4.5
W. Jordan Gillis
10.2%
–
Brian Mast
7.00%
–
Brent Ingraham
6.50%
▲0.5
Michael Obadal
6.50%
–
Charles Young III
4.00%
–

Probability over time

Adam Telle
Sean Parnell
Marc Andersen
W. Jordan Gillis
Brian Mast
Brent Ingraham
02550751009/169/2410/210/1010/1810/2611/2
2026-09-16 ~ 2026-11-02 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.