Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?

Polymarket traders put "Sean Parnell" at 37.5% on "Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?". Down 10.0%p from yesterday. $318 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 19.

Most likely right now
Sean Parnell
10.038%
PoliticsVol $318Total volume $318Liquidity $28Kin 2.3 years (Jan 19)
Current probability

Sep 17 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Sean Parnell
37.5%
10.0
Adam Telle
33.5%
14.0
W. Jordan Gillis
24.0%
11.0
Michael Obadal
24.0%
Brian Mast
14.0%
1.0
Charles Young III
13.0%
1.0
Marc Andersen
13.0%
Brent Ingraham
12.5%
0.5

Probability over time

Sean Parnell
Adam Telle
W. Jordan Gillis
Michael Obadal
Brian Mast
Charles Young III
02550751009/169/17
2026-09-16 ~ 2026-09-17 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.