Who will leave Trump Administration before 2028?
Polymarket traders put "Howard Lutnick" at 75.5% on "Who will leave Trump Administration before 2028?". $14K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 15 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Howard Lutnick
–76%
PoliticsVol $14KTotal volume $14KLiquidity $32Kin 1.1 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Howard Lutnick
75.5%
–
Kash Patel
62.0%
–
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
47.5%
–
Pete Hegseth
42.5%
–
Markwayne Mullin
37.0%
–
David Sacks
32.0%
–
Marco Rubio
31.5%
–
Tom Homan
31.5%
–
Kristi Noem
30.5%
–
Scott Bessent
29.0%
–
Dan Scavino
27.0%
–
John Ratcliffe
25.5%
–
Stephen Miller
22.0%
–
Lee Zeldin
19.5%
–
Russell Vought
13.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
