Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government?
Polymarket traders put "No second mandate" at 53.0% on "Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government?". Up 47.0%p from yesterday. $7.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
No second mandate
▲47.053%
PoliticsVol $7.8KTotal volume $7.8KLiquidity $27Kin 1.1 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 8 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
No second mandate
53.0%
▲47.0
Benjamin Netanyahu
36.5%
–
Yair Golan
7.50%
–
Benny Gantz
2.15%
–
Itamar Ben Gvir
1.15%
–
Naftali Bennett
1.10%
▼44.9
Avigdor Lieberman
0.60%
▼45.4
Yair Lapid
0.55%
▼45.5
Gadi Eizenkot
0.55%
–
Yossi Cohen
0.55%
–
Gideon Sa’ar
0.55%
–
Yariv Levin
0.55%
–
Moshe Feiglin
0.55%
▼5.5
Ayelet Shaked
0.55%
▼5.5
Yoaz Hendel
0.55%
▼5.5
Israel Katz
0.55%
–
Nir Barkat
0.55%
–
Amir Ohana
0.55%
▼5.5
Gilad Erdan
0.55%
–
Ofer Winter
0.55%
▼5.5
Eli Cohen
0.55%
▼5.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
