Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

Most likely right now
J.D. Vance
1.055%
PoliticsVol $21Total volume $9.3KLiquidity $131KComments 1in 2.2 years (Nov 6)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
J.D. Vance
54.5%
1.0
Marco Rubio
24.5%
Donald Trump Jr.
6.50%
2.0
Donald Trump
5.50%
Eric Trump
5.45%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
5.10%
Byron Donalds
5.10%
Greg Abbott
4.90%
Thomas Massie
4.50%
Ron DeSantis
2.50%
Vivek Ramaswamy
2.05%
Tulsi Gabbard
2.00%
Elon Musk
1.85%
Ivanka Trump
1.35%
Glenn Youngkin
1.10%
Brian Kemp
1.10%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1.00%
Ted Cruz
0.60%
Rand Paul
0.45%
Tucker Carlson
0.30%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
0.20%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.