Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
Polymarket traders put "J.D. Vance" at 49.5% on "Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?". $683 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 7.
Most likely right now
J.D. Vance
–50%
PoliticsVol $683Total volume $21KLiquidity $208KComments 1in 2.1 years (Nov 7)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
J.D. Vance
49.5%
–
Marco Rubio
31.0%
▲9.0
Donald Trump Jr.
5.30%
–
Eric Trump
4.85%
–
Donald Trump
4.05%
–
Elon Musk
3.25%
–
Tucker Carlson
0.65%
–
Ted Cruz
0.65%
–
Vivek Ramaswamy
0.60%
–
Glenn Youngkin
0.60%
–
Thomas Massie
0.60%
–
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
0.60%
–
Ron DeSantis
0.55%
–
Greg Abbott
0.55%
–
Tulsi Gabbard
0.55%
–
Byron Donalds
0.55%
–
Brian Kemp
0.55%
–
Rand Paul
0.40%
–
Ivanka Trump
0.30%
–
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
0.30%
–
Marjorie Taylor Greene
0.20%
–
Probability over time
J.D. Vance
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump Jr.
Eric Trump
Donald Trump
Elon Musk
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
