Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

Polymarket traders put "Joe Biden" at 99.6% on "Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?". $6.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 31 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 30.

Most likely right now
Joe Biden
100%
PoliticsVol $6.2KTotal volume $2.6KLiquidity $16Kin 28 days (Sep 30)
Current probability

Sep 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Joe Biden
99.6%
Barack Obama
91.0%
Nicolás Maduro
89.0%
Kathy Hochul
86.5%
James Talarico
83.4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
79.5%
Letitia James
78.5%
Elizabeth Warren
76.0%
Tucker Carlson
71.5%
J.B. Pritzker
69.5%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
69.0%
Mark Carney
64.5%
Ilhan Omar
60.5%
Jon Ossoff
58.5%
Adam Schiff
57.0%
Abdul El-Sayed
55.5%
Hillary Clinton
53.5%
Emmanuel Macron
46.0%
Kevin Warsh
33.5%
Zohran Mamdani
33.0%
Vladimir Putin
32.0%
Jimmy Kimmel
31.5%
Friedrich Merz
22.5%
Andy Burnham
21.0%
Jerome Powell
19.5%
Xi Jinping
8.50%
Mohammed bin Salman
7.00%
Pam Bondi
5.50%
J.D. Vance
4.50%
Karoline Leavitt
4.50%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.