Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
Polymarket traders put "No Hormuz Agreement" at 83.1% on "Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?". $94K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
No Hormuz Agreement
–83%
PoliticsVol $94KTotal volume $88KLiquidity $1.1Min 23 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
No Hormuz Agreement
83.1%
–
Hormuz Agreement; D Senate
9.85%
–
Hormuz Agreement; R Senate
7.40%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
