Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
Polymarket traders put "Oil ≥ $80; D Senate" at 55.5% on "Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?". $8.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
–55%
PoliticsVol $8.1KTotal volume $8.1KLiquidity $1.2Min 22 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 13 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
55.5%
–
Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
32.1%
–
Oil < $80; R Senate
6.40%
–
Oil < $80; D Senate
5.95%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
