Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
Polymarket traders put "Oil ≥ $85; D Senate" at 51.0% on "Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?". $8.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Oil ≥ $85; D Senate
–51%
PoliticsVol $8.4KTotal volume $8.4KLiquidity $1.2Min 22 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 13 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Oil ≥ $85; D Senate
51.0%
–
Oil ≥ $85; R Senate
27.3%
–
Oil < $85; D Senate
13.3%
–
Oil < $85; R Senate
7.75%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
