WI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 12%+" at 26.0% on "WI-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 17.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 12%+
▲17.026%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $192Liquidity $2.3Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 12%+
26.0%
▲17.0
Republican 6-9%
22.5%
▼4.0
Democrat 9-12%
22.5%
▼8.5
Republican 0-3%
18.5%
▼21.0
Republican 3-6%
17.5%
▼12.0
Republican 12%+
16.5%
▼9.0
Republican 9-12%
16.5%
▼16.0
Democrat 3-6%
10.0%
▲2.0
Democrat 6-9%
8.00%
▲1.5
Democrat 0-3%
6.50%
▼1.0
Probability over time
Democrat 12%+
Republican 6-9%
Democrat 9-12%
Republican 0-3%
Republican 3-6%
Republican 12%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
