WI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 3-6%" at 19.5% on "WI-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 9.5%p from yesterday. $519 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 3-6%
▲9.520%
PoliticsVol $519Total volume $10KLiquidity $131Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 3-6%
19.5%
▲9.5
Republican 6-9%
19.0%
▼4.6
Democrat 0-3%
19.0%
▼2.0
Republican 0-3%
18.0%
▼0.5
Republican 12%+
8.00%
▼6.5
Democrat 3-6%
8.00%
▼5.5
Democrat 9-12%
5.95%
–
Republican 9-12%
3.80%
–
Democrat 6-9%
3.45%
▼0.8
Democrat 12%+
0.85%
▼1.1
Probability over time
Republican 3-6%
Republican 6-9%
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 0-3%
Republican 12%+
Democrat 3-6%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
