WI-04 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Gwen Moore (D)" at 96.5% on "WI-04 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Gwen Moore (D)
–97%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $37KLiquidity $32Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Gwen Moore (D)
96.5%
–
Tim Rogers (R)
1.35%
–
Probability over time
Gwen Moore (D)
Tim Rogers (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
