WI-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 32.5% on "WI-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $65 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
▲1.533%
PoliticsVol $65Total volume $9.5KLiquidity $130Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
32.5%
▲1.5
Republican 15-20%
29.8%
▲0.8
Republican 10-15%
19.0%
▼2.0
Republican 25-30%
15.5%
–
Republican 5-10%
8.90%
▲4.8
Democrat Wins
4.10%
▼0.8
Republican 30-35%
3.80%
▼2.2
Republican 0-5%
1.65%
–
Republican 35%+
0.65%
–
Probability over time
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 5-10%
Democrat Wins
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
