WI-07 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Michael Alfonso (R)" at 94.5% on "WI-07 House Election Winner". $104 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Michael Alfonso (R)
–95%
PoliticsVol $104Total volume $57KLiquidity $65Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Michael Alfonso (R)
94.5%
–
Fred Clark (D)
5.00%
▼0.9

Probability over time

Michael Alfonso (R)
Fred Clark (D)
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.