WI-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 0-5%" at 32.5% on "WI-07 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 0-5%
1.533%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $23Liquidity $1.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 0-5%
32.5%
1.5
Republican 25-30%
31.5%
5.0
Republican 10-15%
31.5%
3.5
Republican 30%+
27.0%
0.5
Republican 5-10%
26.0%
2.5
Democrat Wins
25.5%
18.0
Republican 20-25%
25.0%
2.0
Republican 15-20%
23.5%
3.0

Probability over time

Republican 0-5%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 30%+
Republican 5-10%
Democrat Wins
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.