WI-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 9-12%" at 28.7% on "WI-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.9%p from yesterday. $15 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 9-12%
▼0.929%
PoliticsVol $15Total volume $18KLiquidity $93Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 9-12%
28.7%
▼0.9
Republican 6-9%
20.0%
▼0.5
Republican 12-15%
19.9%
▲2.9
Republican 3-6%
12.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 0-3%
10.9%
▲7.0
Republican 0-3%
6.00%
▲1.0
Republican 18-21%
4.65%
▲0.5
Republican 15-18%
3.85%
–
Republican 21%+
3.70%
–
Democrat 3%+
1.55%
–
Probability over time
Republican 9-12%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 12-15%
Republican 3-6%
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 0-3%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
