WI-08 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 6-9%" at 30.0% on "WI-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 6.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 6-9%
6.530%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $226Liquidity $1.7Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 6-9%
30.0%
6.5
Republican 0-3%
27.5%
4.0
Republican 18-21%
26.5%
2.0
Democrat 0-3%
26.0%
2.8
Republican 21%+
25.0%
Republican 3-6%
24.0%
2.5
Republican 15-18%
23.5%
0.5
Republican 9-12%
23.5%
3.5
Republican 12-15%
21.5%
3.5
Democrat 3%+
9.50%

Probability over time

Republican 6-9%
Republican 0-3%
Republican 18-21%
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 21%+
Republican 3-6%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.