Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

Polymarket traders put "Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?" at 8.0%. Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $24 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Oct 31.

Most likely right now
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?
0.58%
PoliticsVol $24Total volume $1.2KLiquidity $12Kin 2 months (Oct 31)
Current probability

Sep 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?
8.00%
0.5

Probability over time

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?
02550751009/19/2
2026-09-01 ~ 2026-09-02 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.