Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

Polymarket traders put "Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?" at 10.5%. $170 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?
11%
PoliticsVol $170Total volume $170Liquidity $8.2Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Sep 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?
10.5%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.