Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Polymarket traders put "Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?" at 48.5%. Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $466 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
▲1.049%
PoliticsVol $466Total volume $27KLiquidity $27KComments 1in 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
48.5%
▲1.0
Probability over time
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
