Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?

Polymarket traders put "Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?" at 46.5%. Up 41.0%p from yesterday. $6 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
41.047%
PoliticsVol $6Total volume $767KLiquidity $30Comments 3in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
46.5%
41.0

Probability over time

December 31
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.