Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?

Polymarket traders put "Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?" at 12.0%. Up 4.0%p from yesterday. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
▲4.012%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $767KLiquidity $272Comments 3in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 16 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
12.0%
▲4.0

Probability over time

December 31
02550751008/259/89/169/2410/210/1010/16
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-16 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.