Will Iran target an Arab country by...?
Polymarket traders put "October 15" at 68.0% on "Will Iran target an Arab country by...?". Up 19.5%p from yesterday. $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.
Most likely right now
October 15
▲19.568%
PoliticsVol $1.2KTotal volume $1.2KLiquidity $930in 23 days (Nov 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
October 15
68.0%
▲19.5
October 31
63.5%
▲15.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
